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Red163
938108.8
5082100.1
2410125.6
Blue347
591899.2
1730184.0
1847121.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217314100400500163347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2410
#36
125.60.6
117.8117.2
Auto17.6
Teleop92.8
End20.5
blue by 58.4
184.04.5
158.3162.8
Auto25.2
Teleop141.6
End16.4
Second
938
#34
108.82.2
104.7106.9
Auto13.2
Teleop90.8
End4.1
blue by 12.8
1847
#28
121.61.3
110.8112.1
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End10.2
Third
5082
#42
100.11.3
103.6104.9
Auto14.8
Teleop76.3
End8.9
red by 0.9
5918
#38
99.20.6
96.897.4
Auto13.9
Teleop80.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed