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Qual 552018 Heartland Regional
Red277
2353149.1
2410125.6
5809111.6
Blue308
5268129.5
6886141.3
1810130.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261337100200300400500277308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2353
#17
149.13.8
134.1→137.8
Auto17.7
Teleop99.0
End35.6
red by 7.8
6886
#2
141.35.0
120.0→125.0
Auto19.3
Teleop105.5
End19.5
Second
2410
#36
125.60.7
117.2→116.5
Auto17.6
Teleop92.8
End20.5
blue by 5.2
1810
#18
130.84.3
135.1→130.8
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End17.5
Third
5809
#30
111.60.4
105.0→105.4
Auto17.1
Teleop81.7
End13.7
blue by 17.9
5268
#20
129.55.0
114.9→119.9
Auto17.9
Teleop96.1
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed