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Qual 562018 Heartland Regional
Red165
2167112.6
2457121.3
1769127.7
Blue389
200196.6
2765138.1
4786141.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327248100200300400500165389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1769
#33
127.73.4
124.1→127.6
Auto17.3
Teleop98.3
End12.2
blue by 14.0
4786
#6
141.70.7
136.6→135.9
Auto17.8
Teleop105.0
End18.6
Second
2457
#29
121.31.7
125.4→127.1
Auto18.3
Teleop89.5
End17.8
blue by 16.7
2765
#15
138.11.1
128.7→127.6
Auto18.8
Teleop102.8
End18.4
Third
2167
#21
112.60.4
122.0→121.6
Auto15.1
Teleop88.5
End6.9
red by 16.0
2001
#41
96.61.4
92.1→93.5
Auto14.4
Teleop73.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed