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Qual 572018 Heartland Regional
Red296
4522157.1
445589.4
1939147.4
Blue189
1785113.2
1108127.9
6359133.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303289100200400500600296189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#3
157.15.1
134.5→139.5
Auto19.8
Teleop113.6
End25.0
red by 23.8
6359
#35
133.31.1
131.3→132.3
Auto14.8
Teleop101.8
End19.2
Second
1939
#12
147.44.0
138.3→142.3
Auto17.5
Teleop110.9
End16.9
red by 19.6
1108
#16
127.93.6
126.0→129.6
Auto21.0
Teleop94.3
End13.4
Third
4455
#43
89.44.3
97.9→93.6
Auto11.5
Teleop71.4
End7.4
blue by 23.8
1785
#24
113.22.5
122.8→120.3
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed