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Qual 592018 Heartland Regional
Red264
1806155.0
5268129.5
4959145.8
Blue381
1810130.8
3184145.6
2765138.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346279100200400500264381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#13
155.02.1
152.2→154.3
Auto19.8
Teleop117.8
End15.3
red by 9.4
3184
#9
145.63.5
129.1→132.6
Auto18.2
Teleop112.1
End17.7
Second
4959
#11
145.81.8
141.1→142.8
Auto22.8
Teleop108.3
End13.3
red by 7.7
2765
#15
138.10.6
127.6→128.2
Auto18.8
Teleop102.8
End18.4
Third
5268
#20
129.53.5
119.9→123.4
Auto17.9
Teleop96.1
End17.0
blue by 1.3
1810
#18
130.82.5
130.8→128.3
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed