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Qual 602018 Heartland Regional
Red382
1730184.0
2167112.6
5119132.8
Blue228
5809111.6
1777131.4
6420123.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361241100200300400500600382228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#1
184.03.6
167.8→171.4
Auto25.2
Teleop141.6
End16.4
red by 52.6
1777
#26
131.42.0
124.8→126.8
Auto15.2
Teleop100.1
End21.2
Second
5119
#7
132.80.4
126.2→126.5
Auto19.5
Teleop96.1
End20.0
red by 9.8
6420
#39
123.02.1
128.8→126.7
Auto16.3
Teleop88.6
End19.8
Third
2167
#21
112.62.9
121.6→118.7
Auto15.1
Teleop88.5
End6.9
red by 1.1
5809
#30
111.61.9
105.4→107.2
Auto17.1
Teleop81.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed