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Red494
1777131.4
1108127.9
4522157.1
Blue120
1997126.4
2167112.6
5268129.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340267100200300400500600494120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.13.2
147.5150.7
Auto19.8
Teleop113.6
End25.0
red by 27.6
5268
#20
129.53.2
124.8128.0
Auto17.9
Teleop96.1
End17.0
Second
1777
#26
131.41.4
128.5129.9
Auto15.2
Teleop100.1
End21.2
red by 5.0
1997
#25
126.41.7
124.3126.0
Auto15.3
Teleop102.2
End10.7
Third
1108
#16
127.91.7
131.0129.3
Auto21.0
Teleop94.3
End13.4
red by 15.2
2167
#21
112.62.4
118.1115.7
Auto15.1
Teleop88.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed