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Qual 752018 Heartland Regional
Red435
591899.2
1806155.0
6886141.3
Blue206
1994123.6
5119132.8
200196.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352390100200300400500600435206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#13
155.00.5
154.8→154.3
Auto19.8
Teleop117.8
End15.3
red by 22.2
5119
#7
132.82.0
128.1→130.2
Auto19.5
Teleop96.1
End20.0
Second
6886
#2
141.33.3
132.5→135.8
Auto19.3
Teleop105.5
End19.5
red by 17.7
1994
#40
123.62.0
120.3→122.3
Auto13.6
Teleop94.0
End18.2
Third
5918
#38
99.20.1
98.1→98.2
Auto13.9
Teleop80.4
End5.0
red by 2.6
2001
#41
96.60.4
95.9→96.3
Auto14.4
Teleop73.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed