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Qual 802018 Heartland Regional
Red415
1785113.2
4388147.0
2457121.3
Blue215
1108127.9
1994123.6
5268129.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285315100200400500600415215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#8
147.00.5
145.7→146.2
Auto18.1
Teleop114.3
End16.6
red by 17.5
5268
#20
129.51.5
128.0→129.5
Auto17.9
Teleop96.1
End17.0
Second
2457
#29
121.30.3
121.6→121.3
Auto18.3
Teleop89.5
End17.8
blue by 6.5
1108
#16
127.90.6
129.3→128.7
Auto21.0
Teleop94.3
End13.4
Third
1785
#24
113.22.1
115.4→113.2
Auto16.6
Teleop87.6
End6.6
blue by 10.4
1994
#40
123.61.3
122.3→123.6
Auto13.6
Teleop94.0
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed