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Red397
935116.4
5119132.8
6886141.3
Blue376
1723161.9
4959145.8
4522157.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2484150100200300500600700397376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.33.4
135.8139.2
Auto19.3
Teleop105.5
End19.5
blue by 20.6
161.93.1
155.9159.1
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End26.1
Second
132.81.3
130.2131.5
Auto19.5
Teleop96.1
End20.0
blue by 24.3
157.12.7
150.7153.4
Auto19.8
Teleop113.6
End25.0
Third
935
#32
116.40.8
114.7115.5
Auto16.9
Teleop89.4
End12.2
blue by 29.4
4959
#11
145.81.4
143.9145.4
Auto22.8
Teleop108.3
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed