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Red315
932155.3
5889157.2
2345122.0
Blue252
1764140.6
2457135.1
4809102.5
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354265100200300400500600315252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.20.4
156.1156.5
Auto18.7
Teleop128.7
End9.7
red by 16.6
1764
#12
140.60.3
139.9140.2
Auto20.8
Teleop106.6
End14.0
Second
932
#6
155.30.1
155.1155.3
Auto20.6
Teleop124.3
End10.8
red by 20.2
135.10.3
134.4134.7
Auto17.7
Teleop95.8
End24.5
Third
2345
#28
122.00.0
122.2122.3
Auto17.1
Teleop93.0
End11.4
red by 19.6
4809
#19
102.50.4
101.6102.0
Auto15.4
Teleop83.6
End5.2