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Red284
3284155.0
5801152.0
1997133.4
Blue271
1987153.6
1763145.7
5082112.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367279100200400500600284271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#13
155.00.2
154.6154.8
Auto18.6
Teleop116.4
End21.9
red by 1.5
1987
#23
153.60.1
153.9153.8
Auto21.3
Teleop114.9
End16.8
Second
5801
#10
152.00.3
151.1151.4
Auto17.6
Teleop120.9
End15.1
red by 6.3
145.70.3
144.9145.2
Auto18.4
Teleop110.7
End16.9
Third
1997
#15
133.40.2
132.8133.0
Auto17.7
Teleop100.6
End17.1
red by 21.3
5082
#17
112.00.6
110.5111.0
Auto15.6
Teleop83.3
End14.5