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Red319
518995.1
5013145.0
1723194.6
Blue186
5082112.0
1997133.4
1764140.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339251100200300400500600319186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.62.3
169.6171.9
Auto27.1
Teleop141.5
End26.7
red by 54.1
1764
#12
140.60.2
135.3135.4
Auto20.8
Teleop106.6
End14.0
Second
145.05.1
115.8120.9
Auto17.9
Teleop109.5
End18.3
red by 11.7
1997
#15
133.40.0
128.2128.2
Auto17.7
Teleop100.6
End17.1
Third
5189
#31
95.12.9
92.495.3
Auto19.7
Teleop73.7
End1.4
blue by 16.9
5082
#17
112.00.4
98.598.9
Auto15.6
Teleop83.3
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed