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Red418
2457135.1
935131.9
2352160.0
Blue134
5098117.8
938103.2
1802104.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316265150200250300350400450418134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.07.0
121.2128.2
Auto21.6
Teleop114.9
End24.2
red by 42.1
5098
#32
117.86.2
113.2119.4
Auto13.1
Teleop91.3
End14.5
Second
135.11.6
125.3126.9
Auto17.7
Teleop95.8
End24.5
red by 31.1
1802
#36
104.05.1
97.4102.5
Auto14.7
Teleop81.0
End8.2
Third
935
#11
131.90.2
119.7119.4
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End18.1
red by 28.7
938
#25
103.21.3
107.5106.3
Auto14.5
Teleop85.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed