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Red384
1986166.2
5082112.0
287489.7
Blue324
1288117.1
1987153.6
1997133.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123620100300400500600384324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.21.9
151.3153.2
Auto21.9
Teleop119.7
End24.8
red by 12.6
1987
#23
153.63.2
147.0150.2
Auto21.3
Teleop114.9
End16.8
Second
5082
#17
112.00.8
99.3100.1
Auto15.6
Teleop83.3
End14.5
blue by 21.3
1997
#15
133.40.2
127.4127.6
Auto17.7
Teleop100.6
End17.1
Third
2874
#42
89.73.3
93.590.2
Auto13.5
Teleop69.0
End8.5
blue by 27.4
1288
#39
117.11.2
117.5118.7
Auto14.4
Teleop89.1
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed