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Red290
2352160.0
518995.1
6805117.8
Blue339
5141116.2
3172124.1
5013145.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763040100200400500290339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.04.4
139.8144.2
Auto21.6
Teleop114.9
End24.2
red by 15.0
145.03.7
127.2130.8
Auto17.9
Teleop109.5
End18.3
Second
6805
#27
117.84.9
106.2111.1
Auto15.7
Teleop83.1
End21.0
blue by 6.3
3172
#21
124.12.8
116.0118.8
Auto16.4
Teleop95.9
End12.2
Third
5189
#31
95.10.2
98.398.1
Auto19.7
Teleop73.7
End1.4
blue by 21.1
5141
#38
116.21.7
113.7112.0
Auto15.9
Teleop88.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed