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Red221
1987153.6
287489.7
1802104.0
Blue358
1763145.7
5013145.0
5098117.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212366100300400500600221358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#23
153.60.9
152.4153.3
Auto21.3
Teleop114.9
End16.8
red by 7.9
145.73.9
135.0138.9
Auto18.4
Teleop110.7
End16.9
Second
1802
#36
104.00.4
101.9102.4
Auto14.7
Teleop81.0
End8.2
blue by 41.1
145.04.2
134.9139.1
Auto17.9
Teleop109.5
End18.3
Third
2874
#42
89.70.4
91.491.0
Auto13.5
Teleop69.0
End8.5
blue by 28.1
5098
#32
117.82.3
121.6119.3
Auto13.1
Teleop91.3
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed