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Red194
937101.7
1986166.2
6976102.8
Blue489
5889157.2
2352160.0
932155.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229401100200300500600194489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.22.4
156.2158.5
Auto21.9
Teleop119.7
End24.8
red by 6.2
160.03.6
148.2151.8
Auto21.6
Teleop114.9
End24.2
Second
6976
#37
102.80.1
104.7104.8
Auto11.2
Teleop84.3
End5.3
blue by 54.4
157.21.8
148.6150.3
Auto18.7
Teleop128.7
End9.7
Third
937
#34
101.71.5
99.0100.6
Auto15.6
Teleop79.0
End8.5
blue by 53.6
932
#6
155.32.0
147.0149.0
Auto20.6
Teleop124.3
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed