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Red194
5801152.0
182787.5
5082112.0
Blue415
1737102.8
2352160.0
1986166.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323300100200300400500194415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#10
152.013.7
95.9109.6
Auto17.6
Teleop120.9
End15.1
blue by 14.1
166.21.1
146.5145.4
Auto21.9
Teleop119.7
End24.8
Second
5082
#17
112.00.7
100.199.4
Auto15.6
Teleop83.3
End14.5
blue by 48.0
160.014.6
87.6102.2
Auto21.6
Teleop114.9
End24.2
Third
1827
#43
87.517.7
59.977.5
Auto14.6
Teleop71.7
End-0.7
blue by 15.3
1737
#35
102.816.6
68.785.4
Auto15.6
Teleop78.1
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned