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Red347
1802104.0
5968125.7
6886164.5
Blue224
1825147.5
937101.7
3172124.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112440100200400500600347224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.51.4
144.3145.6
Auto21.0
Teleop123.2
End21.6
red by 17.0
1825
#18
147.511.5
96.0107.5
Auto16.3
Teleop115.1
End16.5
Second
5968
#24
125.717.0
65.382.4
Auto16.5
Teleop98.1
End10.3
red by 1.6
3172
#21
124.112.7
88.2100.9
Auto16.4
Teleop95.9
End12.2
Third
1802
#36
104.09.5
82.491.8
Auto14.7
Teleop81.0
End8.2
red by 2.3
937
#34
101.79.2
73.282.4
Auto15.6
Teleop79.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed