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Red248
6976102.8
5098117.8
5809120.3
Blue331
1763145.7
6542117.7
5141116.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463210100200400500600248331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5809
#14
120.30.7
112.4111.7
Auto17.1
Teleop88.6
End16.5
blue by 25.4
145.711.7
90.4102.2
Auto18.4
Teleop110.7
End16.9
Second
5098
#32
117.812.2
93.4105.5
Auto13.1
Teleop91.3
End14.5
red by 0.1
6542
#20
117.77.5
105.2112.7
Auto16.7
Teleop85.6
End14.3
Third
6976
#37
102.811.4
77.789.2
Auto11.2
Teleop84.3
End5.3
blue by 13.5
5141
#38
116.212.1
88.5100.6
Auto15.9
Teleop88.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed