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Red395
4809102.5
2352160.0
2560118.0
Blue268
1764140.6
6817104.3
6805117.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292291280300320340380395268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.01.8
154.6156.4
Auto21.6
Teleop114.9
End24.2
red by 19.4
1764
#12
140.61.1
137.2138.3
Auto20.8
Teleop106.6
End14.0
Second
2560
#26
118.00.4
114.9115.3
Auto17.0
Teleop91.7
End11.9
red by 0.2
6805
#27
117.80.5
117.3117.8
Auto15.7
Teleop83.1
End21.0
Third
4809
#19
102.50.5
101.0100.5
Auto15.4
Teleop83.6
End5.2
blue by 1.8
6817
#30
104.31.3
101.6102.9
Auto15.1
Teleop80.6
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed