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Red232
5098117.8
1769120.2
518995.1
Blue64
5968125.7
938103.2
182787.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248265010020030040050060070023264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1769
#29
120.20.3
120.5120.2
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End13.0
blue by 5.5
5968
#24
125.71.3
127.0125.7
Auto16.5
Teleop98.1
End10.3
Second
5098
#32
117.80.3
117.0116.7
Auto13.1
Teleop91.3
End14.5
red by 14.6
938
#25
103.20.6
102.6103.2
Auto14.5
Teleop85.2
End3.8
Third
5189
#31
95.11.8
96.995.1
Auto19.7
Teleop73.7
End1.4
red by 7.6
1827
#43
87.50.2
87.387.5
Auto14.6
Teleop71.7
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed