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Red387
1986166.2
2164131.1
5141116.2
Blue217
3172124.1
932155.3
6886164.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262376100200300500600700387217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.21.1
161.6162.8
Auto21.9
Teleop119.7
End24.8
red by 1.7
164.51.9
161.9163.9
Auto21.0
Teleop123.2
End21.6
Second
2164
#16
131.11.0
129.0130.0
Auto17.3
Teleop102.8
End10.2
blue by 24.2
932
#6
155.32.1
152.8154.9
Auto20.6
Teleop124.3
End10.8
Third
5141
#38
116.21.3
114.9116.2
Auto15.9
Teleop88.2
End13.8
blue by 7.9
3172
#21
124.10.7
124.8124.1
Auto16.4
Teleop95.9
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed