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Red295
1763145.7
1288117.1
3284155.0
Blue303
2352160.0
1764140.6
6542117.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326323260280300340360380400295303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#13
155.00.2
153.9154.1
Auto18.6
Teleop116.4
End21.9
blue by 5.0
160.02.4
156.4158.8
Auto21.6
Teleop114.9
End24.2
Second
145.71.2
142.9144.1
Auto18.4
Teleop110.7
End16.9
red by 5.1
1764
#12
140.61.3
138.3139.6
Auto20.8
Teleop106.6
End14.0
Third
1288
#39
117.10.2
117.2117.1
Auto14.4
Teleop89.1
End15.5
blue by 0.7
6542
#20
117.70.8
118.6117.7
Auto16.7
Teleop85.6
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed