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Red276
7064108.3
1825147.5
235792.2
Blue325
2457135.1
5082112.0
4809102.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260294100200400276325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#18
147.50.8
146.1146.9
Auto16.3
Teleop115.1
End16.5
red by 12.4
135.10.4
133.7134.1
Auto17.7
Teleop95.8
End24.5
Second
7064
#41
108.30.4
107.9108.3
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End6.8
blue by 3.8
5082
#17
112.01.9
107.2109.1
Auto15.6
Teleop83.3
End14.5
Third
2357
#40
92.22.1
94.392.2
Auto12.4
Teleop75.6
End4.1
blue by 10.3
4809
#19
102.50.8
100.5101.3
Auto15.4
Teleop83.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed