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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Missouri State Championship
Red431
1706192.7
1806185.3
7117114.7
Blue198
931137.3
2978122.2
1825147.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262380100200300500600700431198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
Unranked
192.70.0
192.7→192.7
Auto24.1
Teleop144.9
End24.3
red by 45.2
1825
Unranked
147.50.0
147.5→147.5
Auto16.3
Teleop115.1
End16.5
Second
1806
Unranked
185.30.0
185.3→185.3
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
red by 48.0
931
Unranked
137.30.0
137.3→137.3
Auto16.1
Teleop105.1
End18.3
Third
7117
Unranked
114.70.0
114.7→114.7
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
blue by 7.4
2978
Unranked
122.20.0
122.2→122.2
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7