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Semifinal 1-22018 Missouri State Championship
Red392
1706192.7
1806185.3
7117114.7
Blue182
1987164.1
6424163.0
1094128.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions409274100200500600700392182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
Unranked
192.70.0
192.7→192.7
Auto24.1
Teleop144.9
End24.3
red by 28.6
1987
Unranked
164.10.0
164.1→164.1
Auto20.6
Teleop123.9
End20.3
Second
1806
Unranked
185.30.0
185.3→185.3
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
red by 22.3
6424
Unranked
163.00.0
163.0→163.0
Auto18.2
Teleop124.4
End17.4
Third
7117
Unranked
114.70.0
114.7→114.7
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
blue by 13.3
1094
Unranked
128.00.0
128.0→128.0
Auto20.4
Teleop94.5
End14.9