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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Missouri State Championship
Red211
1939154.6
6886161.8
6744126.2
Blue351
1987164.1
6424163.0
1094128.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341323100200400500600211351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6886
Unranked
161.80.0
161.8→161.8
Auto21.6
Teleop121.4
End15.3
blue by 2.3
1987
Unranked
164.10.0
164.1→164.1
Auto20.6
Teleop123.9
End20.3
Second
1939
Unranked
154.60.0
154.6→154.6
Auto16.8
Teleop118.3
End19.5
blue by 8.4
6424
Unranked
163.00.0
163.0→163.0
Auto18.2
Teleop124.4
End17.4
Third
6744
Unranked
126.20.0
126.2→126.2
Auto16.8
Teleop94.3
End13.4
blue by 1.8
1094
Unranked
128.00.0
128.0→128.0
Auto20.4
Teleop94.5
End14.9