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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Missouri State Championship
Red392
1986202.2
1178163.3
7255105.9
Blue348
4329134.7
1444134.7
5013148.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3802830100200500600392348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
Unranked
202.20.0
202.2→202.2
Auto22.9
Teleop144.5
End34.1
red by 53.3
5013
Unranked
148.80.0
148.8→148.8
Auto20.9
Teleop108.6
End18.7
Second
1178
Unranked
163.30.0
163.3→163.3
Auto21.6
Teleop116.3
End23.4
red by 28.5
4329
Unranked
134.70.0
134.7→134.7
Auto13.8
Teleop106.9
End11.7
Third
7255
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9→105.9
Auto15.9
Teleop81.4
End9.6
blue by 28.8
1444
Unranked
134.70.0
134.7→134.7
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2