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Semifinal 2-32018 Missouri State Championship
Red332
1986202.2
1178163.3
7255105.9
Blue337
4256136.6
3397169.1
5809126.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions400298100200500600700332337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
Unranked
202.20.0
202.2→202.2
Auto22.9
Teleop144.5
End34.1
red by 33.1
3397
Unranked
169.10.0
169.1→169.1
Auto18.8
Teleop124.6
End24.2
Second
1178
Unranked
163.30.0
163.3→163.3
Auto21.6
Teleop116.3
End23.4
red by 26.7
4256
Unranked
136.60.0
136.6→136.6
Auto16.5
Teleop105.2
End14.4
Third
7255
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9→105.9
Auto15.9
Teleop81.4
End9.6
blue by 20.5
5809
Unranked
126.40.0
126.4→126.4
Auto18.7
Teleop92.6
End16.1