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Red283
2978122.2
1730178.8
4600114.9
Blue224
4329134.7
6817103.9
7117114.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3552530100200300400500600283224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
Unranked
178.80.0
178.8178.8
Auto25.3
Teleop137.1
End14.8
red by 44.0
4329
Unranked
134.70.0
134.7134.7
Auto13.8
Teleop106.9
End11.7
Second
2978
Unranked
122.20.0
122.2122.2
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7
red by 7.4
7117
Unranked
114.70.0
114.7114.7
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
Third
4600
Unranked
114.90.0
114.9114.9
Auto12.5
Teleop93.6
End9.9
red by 11.0
6817
Unranked
103.90.0
103.9103.9
Auto15.1
Teleop78.8
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest odds19%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds