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Red370
1178163.3
1094128.0
931137.3
Blue172
1806185.3
7255105.9
6744126.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3333160100200400500600700370172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
Unranked
163.30.0
163.3163.3
Auto21.6
Teleop116.3
End23.4
blue by 22.0
1806
Unranked
185.30.0
185.3185.3
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
Second
931
Unranked
137.30.0
137.3137.3
Auto16.1
Teleop105.1
End18.3
red by 11.0
6744
Unranked
126.20.0
126.2126.2
Auto16.8
Teleop94.3
End13.4
Third
1094
Unranked
128.00.0
128.0128.0
Auto20.4
Teleop94.5
End14.9
red by 22.2
7255
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto15.9
Teleop81.4
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest odds63%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds