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Red234
1825147.5
2978122.2
4256136.6
Blue414
3792153.3
1444134.7
1986202.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2524170100200300500600700234414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
Unranked
147.50.0
147.5147.5
Auto16.3
Teleop115.1
End16.5
blue by 54.7
1986
Unranked
202.20.0
202.2202.2
Auto22.9
Teleop144.5
End34.1
Second
4256
Unranked
136.60.0
136.6136.6
Auto16.5
Teleop105.2
End14.4
blue by 16.7
3792
Unranked
153.30.0
153.3153.3
Auto16.3
Teleop120.7
End12.2
Third
2978
Unranked
122.20.0
122.2122.2
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7
blue by 12.5
1444
Unranked
134.70.0
134.7134.7
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest odds89%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds31%Face the Boss odds