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Red192
6817103.9
6744126.2
1987164.1
Blue305
6424163.0
4329134.7
6886161.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3013470100200400500600192305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
Unranked
164.10.0
164.1164.1
Auto20.6
Teleop123.9
End20.3
red by 1.1
6424
Unranked
163.00.0
163.0163.0
Auto18.2
Teleop124.4
End17.4
Second
6744
Unranked
126.20.0
126.2126.2
Auto16.8
Teleop94.3
End13.4
blue by 35.5
6886
Unranked
161.80.0
161.8161.8
Auto21.6
Teleop121.4
End15.3
Third
6817
Unranked
103.90.0
103.9103.9
Auto15.1
Teleop78.8
End12.8
blue by 30.8
4329
Unranked
134.70.0
134.7134.7
Auto13.8
Teleop106.9
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest odds65%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds