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Red407
1706192.7
1730178.8
1986202.2
Blue204
1444134.7
1806185.3
931137.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4452660100200300400500600700407204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
Unranked
202.20.0
202.2202.2
Auto22.9
Teleop144.5
End34.1
red by 16.9
1806
Unranked
185.30.0
185.3185.3
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
Second
1706
Unranked
192.70.0
192.7192.7
Auto24.1
Teleop144.9
End24.3
red by 55.4
931
Unranked
137.30.0
137.3137.3
Auto16.1
Teleop105.1
End18.3
Third
1730
Unranked
178.80.0
178.8178.8
Auto25.3
Teleop137.1
End14.8
red by 44.1
1444
Unranked
134.70.0
134.7134.7
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest odds71%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
52%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds