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Red425
2451168.1
2481176.4
4256125.3
Blue224
1706147.1
1178154.9
2978122.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381289100200500600425224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.40.7
175.7176.4
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
red by 21.5
154.91.1
153.9154.9
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End26.7
Second
168.11.1
167.0168.1
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
red by 21.0
147.10.8
146.4147.1
Auto20.7
Teleop113.1
End12.4
Third
4256
#35
125.30.2
125.5125.3
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
red by 3.1
2978
#20
122.20.1
122.0122.2
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7