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Red386
2451168.1
2481176.4
4256125.3
Blue136
1706147.1
1178154.9
2978122.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375303100200400500386136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.40.7
175.0175.7
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
red by 21.5
154.91.4
152.5153.9
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End26.7
Second
168.11.2
165.9167.0
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
red by 21.0
147.11.1
145.3146.4
Auto20.7
Teleop113.1
End12.4
Third
4256
#35
125.30.3
125.8125.5
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
red by 3.1
2978
#20
122.20.4
121.7122.0
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7