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Quarterfinal 4-22018 St. Louis Regional
Red326
4143148.7
3397163.4
931124.4
Blue444
3284148.0
2081151.1
1658149.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330365200300400500600326444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#5
163.40.6
162.8→163.4
Auto17.8
Teleop119.3
End30.2
red by 12.3
2081
#8
151.10.2
150.5→150.7
Auto20.0
Teleop117.4
End12.5
Second
4143
#14
148.70.4
148.3→148.7
Auto20.9
Teleop111.7
End15.7
blue by 1.2
1658
#15
149.90.6
148.0→148.6
Auto20.2
Teleop105.5
End27.3
Third
931
#22
124.40.4
124.0→124.4
Auto14.4
Teleop97.8
End16.7
blue by 23.6
3284
#11
148.00.3
147.2→147.4
Auto17.4
Teleop113.3
End20.9