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Quarterfinal 4-12018 St. Louis Regional
Red286
4143148.7
3397163.4
931124.4
Blue336
3284148.0
2081151.1
1658149.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333362100200300400500600286336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#5
163.40.6
162.2→162.8
Auto17.8
Teleop119.3
End30.2
red by 12.3
2081
#8
151.10.2
150.3→150.5
Auto20.0
Teleop117.4
End12.5
Second
4143
#14
148.70.5
147.8→148.3
Auto20.9
Teleop111.7
End15.7
blue by 1.2
1658
#15
149.90.7
147.3→148.0
Auto20.2
Teleop105.5
End27.3
Third
931
#22
124.40.5
123.5→124.0
Auto14.4
Teleop97.8
End16.7
blue by 23.6
3284
#11
148.00.3
146.9→147.2
Auto17.4
Teleop113.3
End20.9