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Quarterfinal 3-22018 St. Louis Regional
Red320
1706147.1
1178154.9
2978122.2
Blue311
4931120.7
7117114.7
3330124.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346272100200300400500600320311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
#2
154.91.4
148.4→149.8
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End26.7
red by 30.8
3330
#16
124.10.6
123.5→124.1
Auto14.6
Teleop95.3
End17.0
Second
1706
#4
147.11.0
142.3→143.3
Auto20.7
Teleop113.1
End12.4
red by 26.4
4931
#31
120.70.2
120.5→120.7
Auto13.1
Teleop93.5
End18.2
Third
2978
#20
122.20.1
121.2→121.3
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7
red by 7.4
7117
#9
114.70.9
113.8→114.7
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7