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Quarterfinal 3-12018 St. Louis Regional
Red415
1706147.1
1178154.9
2978122.2
Blue195
4931120.7
7117114.7
3330124.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333279100200400500600415195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.91.3
147.1148.4
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End26.7
red by 30.8
3330
#16
124.10.7
122.9123.5
Auto14.6
Teleop95.3
End17.0
Second
147.10.9
141.4142.3
Auto20.7
Teleop113.1
End12.4
red by 26.4
4931
#31
120.70.2
120.3120.5
Auto13.1
Teleop93.5
End18.2
Third
2978
#20
122.20.0
121.2121.2
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7
red by 7.4
114.71.0
112.8113.8
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7