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Semifinal 2-22018 St. Louis Regional
Red492
1706147.1
1178154.9
2978122.2
Blue213
3284148.0
2081151.1
1658149.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336349100200300400500600700492213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
#2
154.91.4
151.1→152.5
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End26.7
red by 3.8
2081
#8
151.10.2
150.9→151.1
Auto20.0
Teleop117.4
End12.5
Second
1706
#4
147.11.0
144.2→145.3
Auto20.7
Teleop113.1
End12.4
blue by 2.8
1658
#15
149.90.6
149.3→149.9
Auto20.2
Teleop105.5
End27.3
Third
2978
#20
122.20.3
121.4→121.7
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7
blue by 25.8
3284
#11
148.00.2
147.8→148.0
Auto17.4
Teleop113.3
End20.9