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Quarterfinal 2-22018 St. Louis Regional
Red322
1444134.7
3197142.5
4356116.6
Blue297
1625154.7
1732153.8
4329135.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290386100200500600322297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.51.2
139.0140.2
Auto20.7
Teleop104.9
End21.1
blue by 12.2
1625
#12
154.71.1
153.5154.7
Auto23.2
Teleop116.9
End17.2
Second
1444
#10
134.70.6
133.0133.5
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
blue by 19.1
153.80.6
153.1153.8
Auto24.9
Teleop110.9
End16.7
Third
4356
#25
116.60.8
114.4115.2
Auto18.5
Teleop91.3
End10.3
blue by 19.1
4329
#30
135.71.0
134.7135.7
Auto15.3
Teleop102.5
End19.7