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Quarterfinal 1-12018 St. Louis Regional
Red455
2451168.1
2481176.4
4256125.3
Blue162
2783130.4
3814132.7
5176115.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387233100200300500600455162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
176.40.7
172.2→172.9
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
red by 43.7
3814
#13
132.70.9
131.2→132.0
Auto17.8
Teleop100.9
End14.6
Second
2451
#3
168.11.3
160.7→162.1
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
red by 37.7
2783
#19
130.40.4
129.9→130.3
Auto15.2
Teleop101.6
End13.5
Third
4256
#35
125.30.7
127.8→127.1
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
red by 10.1
5176
#40
115.20.2
115.1→115.2
Auto16.2
Teleop90.9
End7.5