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Semifinal 1-12018 St. Louis Regional
Red406
2451168.1
2481176.4
4256125.3
Blue198
1444134.7
3197142.5
4356116.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387269100200300500600406198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
176.40.7
173.6→174.3
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
red by 33.9
3197
#6
142.51.2
140.2→141.4
Auto20.7
Teleop104.9
End21.1
Second
2451
#3
168.11.3
163.4→164.6
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
red by 33.5
1444
#10
134.70.6
133.5→134.1
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
Third
4256
#35
125.30.4
126.6→126.2
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
red by 8.7
4356
#25
116.60.8
115.2→116.0
Auto18.5
Teleop91.3
End10.3