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Red250
1178154.9
3814132.7
1444134.7
Blue205
931124.4
3197142.5
506098.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942680100200400500250205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.915.7
76.892.6
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End26.7
red by 12.4
142.515.2
81.997.0
Auto20.7
Teleop104.9
End21.1
Second
1444
#10
134.716.0
74.790.7
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
red by 10.2
931
#22
124.416.0
74.890.8
Auto14.4
Teleop97.8
End16.7
Third
3814
#13
132.714.7
86.4101.1
Auto17.8
Teleop100.9
End14.6
red by 34.7
5060
#41
98.017.4
62.379.7
Auto13.3
Teleop81.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed