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Red147
5147115.2
4143148.7
5326107.9
Blue299
2978122.2
5176115.2
3397163.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311283150200250350400450147299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#14
148.711.7
114.7126.4
Auto20.9
Teleop111.7
End15.7
blue by 14.7
163.41.6
140.7142.3
Auto17.8
Teleop119.3
End30.2
Second
5147
#21
115.216.4
70.687.0
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End24.3
blue by 6.9
2978
#20
122.217.1
64.881.9
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7
Third
5326
#45
107.916.2
72.488.6
Auto16.6
Teleop82.9
End8.6
blue by 7.4
5176
#40
115.216.3
72.288.5
Auto16.2
Teleop90.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed