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Red234
7255105.9
2081151.1
6744126.2
Blue274
4256125.3
1094117.8
4500120.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503220100200400500600234274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.114.6
87.6102.2
Auto20.0
Teleop117.4
End12.5
red by 25.8
4256
#35
125.315.0
84.098.9
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
Second
6744
#23
126.216.9
66.183.0
Auto16.8
Teleop94.3
End13.4
red by 5.4
4500
#29
120.913.6
97.1110.6
Auto16.0
Teleop94.2
End7.5
Third
7255
#28
105.928.1
105.977.7
Auto15.9
Teleop81.4
End9.6
blue by 11.9
1094
#27
117.814.7
86.3101.0
Auto20.0
Teleop86.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed