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Qual 42018 St. Louis Regional
Red345
1288113.9
2481176.4
1985120.3
Blue79
4329135.7
6660111.8
4246112.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349243010020030040050060070034579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
176.410.1
130.9→141.0
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
red by 40.7
4329
#30
135.714.2
91.2→105.4
Auto15.3
Teleop102.5
End19.7
Second
1985
#32
120.314.2
90.6→104.9
Auto11.9
Teleop94.3
End13.6
red by 7.8
4246
#34
112.515.8
76.4→92.2
Auto13.0
Teleop83.2
End17.2
Third
1288
#33
113.915.0
83.6→98.6
Auto14.1
Teleop90.1
End12.6
red by 2.1
6660
#38
111.818.1
55.9→74.0
Auto12.8
Teleop88.5
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed